Romney Comes On Strong In Colorado

My, my, my. Just when everybody was prepared to bury the Romney candidacy, look what happens. Colorado, a battleground state with 9 electoral votes that picked the winner in each of the past three elections, has swung into the Romney camp in the latest Rasmussen poll.
Rasmussen hadn’t polled there since early August, when it found that Mitt Romney and Barack Obama were essentially tied at 47 percent each, with 6 percent of the voters surveyed either undecided or preferring one of the splinter candidates.

Yesterday, however, Rasmussen conducted a telephone poll in Colorado, and found that while Romney still can claim 47 percent support, Obama has slipped to 45 percent.

In 2008, Obama won more than 54 percent of the Colorado vote, doing somewhat better there than he did overall (some 53 percent).

This appears to be the only single-state presidential poll that Rasmussen has taken since voters have had time to fully assess Obama’s disingenuous and limp-wristed response to the Middle East crisis. By some voters, it appears, his foreign policy has been weighed in the balance and found wanting.

Some Colorado voters, at least, don’t appear to buy the notion that our problems in the Middle East can be attributed solely to an amateurish film about the Prophet Muhammad.

It should be fascinating – even more fascinating than usual — to see what the Rasmussen polls show in the days just ahead, particularly any polls taken in the swing states. Obama appears to have gotten a bounce after the Democratic National Convention, but after the attacks on our diplomats and diplomatic facilities in Libya and Egypt, he has fallen with a plop.

It is intriguing to note that Colorado is the state with the seventh largest percentage of Hispanic residents – somewhat more than 20 percent.  Hispanics, everyone has assured us, will give Obama a lopsided proportion of their votes this time, as they did last time.
But in Colorado, if the latest Rasmussen poll is any guide, the Hispanic advantage may be wasted. In Colorado the unemployment rate is slightly above 8 percent, just as it is on average throughout the country, so it may be that Coloradans are beginning to wonder what they gained when they voted for Obama last time.

Add to that the impression, reinforced by last week’s events, that our commander-in-chief is a wimp and a screw-up, and we find Romney in the lead.

Republicans tremble when they think of the Hispanic vote, which is supposedly two-thirds pro-Obama. But in fact some of that advantage is entirely wasted, thanks to our electoral college system.

Of the six states that have a larger percentage of Hispanics than Colorado, two – Arizona and Texas – voted against Obama last time, and are likely to do so this time. Add Colorado to the mix this year and the GOP might at least stage a meaningful holding action.

(You can see a similar pattern when you look at the seven states whose populations consist at least 20 percent of blacks – a voting group which Obama almost totally monopolizes. Four of the seven – Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina – voted against Obama last time and are almost certain to do so this time. And a fifth, North Carolina, looks like a good bet to switch to Romney.)

Because of the Hispanic population’s above-average growth rate, things might become more dicey for the GOP in the elections to come. One possible remedy would be to have the likes of Florida Senator Marco Rubio either heading a future Republican ticket or running in the second spot.

Anyway, let’s not compose any requiems for the Romney candidacy just yet. The more clearly the electorate views Obama in the seven weeks remaining until the election, the more they may decide to take their stand behind Romney.

Author Bio:

Arthur Louis spent more than forty years as a print journalist, with the Philadelphia Inquirer, McGraw-Hill, Fortune magazine and the San Francisco Chronicle, but he is not asking for sympathy. He is the author of two non-fiction books: The Tycoons, and Journalism and Other Atrocities, as well as a novel, The Little Champ. In retirement, he has decided unilaterally that he is a profound political pundit.
Author website:
  • venter

    I think Obama believes he owns the Hispanic  vote and the black vote.  Both groups have lived through hard times . Many Hispanic came from countries where they got up one morning and found out they lost their rights.  They  can see clearly what is going on here and their vote will be a very smart one.   The blacks who are suffering with 14% unemployment are hurting.   It’s silly for  Obama to think, because of color, he Owns their votes.    Colorado will be   scary for him .  Both groups,  along with whites,  are sick of being played with.  He doesn’t realize  we like our freedom and could be smarter then him.  That is what the  Colorado poll says –  IN SPANISH! 

    • Artlouis

       Interesting analysis. Thanks.

  • NS Sherlock

    This article should make the liberals insane!

    My favorite line from your article applies to every action (or inaction) taken by the idiot squatting in the White House:

     “…voters have had time to fully assess Obama’s disingenuous and limp-wristed response…”

    However, you were being too polite when you typed “limp-wristed”.

    • Artlouis

      Yes, the liberals were ready to break out the champagne. This has to make them cool it, so to speak, for now. 

      • NS Sherlock

        Why is it the libs have avoided this article like the plague? No way to spin the facts this time?

        • Artlouis

           The libs have been getting a bit giddy over reports that Mr. O. is doing well in Florida, Ohio and Virginia, but most if not all of those polls they cite are flawed. We shall see.

  • John Daly

    On a related note, I was actually one of the people polled by Rasmussen in Colorado yesterday.

    I’ve feared for a few years now that we’d become a blue state. I’m hoping I’m wrong.

    • Artlouis

      Fascinating. Should I ask whom you chose?

      • John Daly