When NY-9 went Republican, Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, chairwoman of the Democratic National Committee, explained that the district, which has been in Democratic hands since 1923, is “a very difficult district for Democrats.” By that standard, the entire nation may go Republican in 2012.
Democrats hold a three-seat majority in the U.S. Senate. But two-thirds of the contested 2012 seats are in Democratic hands. Having to defend so many seats would be challenging at any time (funds have to be spread more thinly), but with a president whose approval ratings are sinking steadily, the prospects for continued Democratic dominance look even worse. Most prognosticators put North Dakota in the likely Republican pick-up column, while Florida, Michigan, New Mexico, Massachusetts, Nebraska, Missouri, Virginia, West Virginia, and Nevada are considered toss-ups. Ohio, where first-term senator Sherrod Brown is seeking reelection, is considered a “lean Democrat” race. We’ll see.
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