Writing for the left-leaning Brookings Institution, William Galston surveys the demographic and political landscape and expresses alarm about President Obama’s reelection chances. If the election “were held tomorrow,” Galston reluctantly concludes, “against the strongest potential Republican nominee, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, he would probably lose.”
Romney is the strongest possible nominee, but, as Galston demonstrates, even with Obama’s weaknesses, pitfalls await. In the first place, a year is a long time in politics. The unemployment rate could decline dramatically. Obama could do the smart thing and focus his reelection effort on the Midwestern states that have decided presidential contests for more than 50 years, or the Republicans could “commit creedal suicide by nominating a presidential candidate outside the mainstream or unqualified for the office.”
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